Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.019791 0.021783 0.023783 0.025935 0.028183 0.030457 0.032925
2025-05-25 0.015719 0.018769 0.021949 0.025488 0.029298 0.033254 0.037656
2025-06-01 0.013147 0.016806 0.020739 0.025231 0.030171 0.035397 0.041305
2025-06-08 0.011094 0.015134 0.019604 0.024824 0.030670 0.036948 0.044137
2025-06-15 0.009691 0.014040 0.018974 0.024848 0.031527 0.038787 0.047181
2025-06-22 0.008259 0.012772 0.018034 0.024419 0.031789 0.039891 0.049346
2025-06-29 0.006860 0.011419 0.016892 0.023670 0.031610 0.040438 0.050833
2025-07-06 0.005524 0.010020 0.015601 0.022663 0.031065 0.040513 0.051736
2025-07-13 0.004975 0.009596 0.015465 0.022998 0.032051 0.042303 0.054549
2025-07-20 0.004260 0.008880 0.014916 0.022794 0.032371 0.043305 0.056443
2025-07-27 0.003642 0.008238 0.014419 0.022621 0.032699 0.044292 0.058301
2025-08-03 0.003438 0.008184 0.014676 0.023373 0.034127 0.046550 0.061609
2025-08-10 0.002904 0.007626 0.014299 0.023395 0.034766 0.047998 0.064124
2025-08-17 0.002254 0.006811 0.013541 0.022921 0.034809 0.048765 0.065887
2025-08-24 0.001764 0.006179 0.012988 0.022675 0.035102 0.049809 0.067952
2025-08-31 0.001316 0.005528 0.012356 0.022289 0.035195 0.050591 0.069692
2025-09-07 0.001028 0.005121 0.012049 0.022312 0.035781 0.051949 0.072097
2025-09-14 0.000709 0.004549 0.011449 0.021906 0.035802 0.052610 0.073664
2025-09-21 0.000413 0.003894 0.010658 0.021198 0.035407 0.052744 0.074589
2025-09-28 0.000177 0.003200 0.009728 0.020246 0.034663 0.052427 0.074954
2025-10-05 0.000114 0.003042 0.009693 0.020563 0.035567 0.054126 0.077724
2025-10-12 0.000042 0.002711 0.009320 0.020370 0.035787 0.054973 0.079464
2025-10-19 0.000006 0.002415 0.008978 0.020206 0.036033 0.055841 0.081223